Good day,
I have a few questions towards the Outputfile and the model itself.
1) Towards the end, Mesquita shows us different data that result from the order in which the "first move" is made. Which one does the model use for its forecast?
2) This leads me generelly to my next question. Due to interactions, actors change their position, flexibility, power, and salience (Bayesian equilibrium). In the output file, this change is adjusted from round to round. But doesn't this change already happen within a round, between a completed interaction with one actor and a future interaction with another? This would mean that the order in which actors interact with each other does not seem to be unimportant. How does the model deal with this?
3) One data available is the Security forecast. Mesquita explains its meaning but never brings it up again. For which considerations within the model is this value relevant?
4.) Do I assume correctly that the downloaded file does not look the same as Mesquita´s version as I am missing an Excel-addon from the licensed program? I am the opposite of an Excel expert and can not tell if I might otherwise just be not aware of a simple trick to format the data in a more legible way.
Thank you and see you tomorrow.
Best regards,
Lars Grunwald